Time enough
An overdue political reckoning in one of Europe’s wobbliest economies
SEEN one way, the last thing Latvia needs is a political crisis. The small Baltic country has clawed its way back from a huge economic bust and bank crisis that followed a breakneck boom. It regained competitiveness through wage cuts and fiscal restraint, rather than by devaluation. After a 20%-plus fall in GDP, growth is flickering upwards. Unemployment is still 16%, but that is down from a peak of 20%. The IMF, which led a bail-out in 2008, has just lent more money—which may not be needed. Latvia has a decent prime minister, Valdis Dombrovskis, and a functioning if precarious coalition government.
But a political convulsion has now upended this picture. The president, Valdis Zatlers, once seen as ponderous and lacklustre, has unleashed a frontal assault on Latvia's politically influential tycoons. This followed a vote in which parliamentary deputies overruled the country's anti-corruption agency, KNAB, which wanted to search the home of a tycoon and party leader, Ainars Slesers, as part of a probe into abuse of office, bribery and other sleaze. (Mr Slesers denies all wrongdoing.) Mr Zatlers used one of his few powers to call a referendum on the dissolution of the Saeima, as the parliament is known.
KNAB's zeal is popular among Latvians, who cherish their often impressive state institutions, just as they mostly despise politicians. Mr Zatlers may win his referendum. But he has not helped his chances of re-election in an upcoming vote by the existing Saeima. Nor is there any guarantee that a new legislature, when elected, will be any cleaner.
Outsiders worry about Latvia's manifold weaknesses, ranging from leaky border controls to feeble defence spending, as well as the domination of the media by shadowy commercial interests. The latest rumpus will do little for confidence in the short term. But if it leads to real change in Latvia's murky politics, Mr Zatlers will be vindicated.
This article appeared in the Europe section of the print edition under the headline "Time enough"
More from Europe
The tiny republic of San Marino is alarmingly friendly to Russia
Intelligence sources fear the country, surrounded by Italy, is a haven for spies
Two years of war have impoverished many Ukrainians
The elderly, the displaced and the disabled are the worst affected
Ukraine is ignoring US warnings to end drone operations inside Russia
Its superdrones can reach targets as far away as Siberia